Another Active Storm Prediction

After a near-record number of tornadoes in 2011, this year is gearing up to be another active season, according to AccuWeather.com.

The weather service says that climatic activity last year produced a near record year for tornadoes with a total of 1,709, making it the fourth most deadly tornado year in the United States. The record was set in 2004 with 1,817 tornadoes. The average is 1,300.

A strong La Niña phenomenon last year, with sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific around the equator below normal, produced a very strong jet stream. This is a key ingredient for severe weather.

In the La Niña year, the normal tornado pattern shifts east, causing many twisters to hit from Texas to Kansas, say the forecasters. The phenomenon causes warmer-than-normal Gulf of Mexico waters, like last year, and is expected to be a key component to another active tornado season this year.

This year, the La Niña appears to be weaker which may mean near normal temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific by spring.

“Areas that seemed to miss out on frequent severe weather last year may see an uptick this year,” says Dan Kottlowski, AccuWeather.com expert senior meteorologist.

The Deep South should not experience the severe outbreak of tornadoes as last year, but that does not mean the Gulf States will avoid damaging thunderstorm and tornado activity.

Severe weather could affect the region through March, but the severe weather threat should move north into Ohio and the mid-Mississippi valley in early April.

“If I were in the South or OhioValley, I’d be extra prepared this year,” Mike Smith, senior vice president of AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions cautioned.

Whether tornadoes hit highly populated areas like they did last year is harder to pinpoint, AccuWeather says.

According to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s NationalClimateDataCenter, in January of this year there were 95 tornadoes, well above the 1991-2010 average of 35. It will likely be the second busiest January on record, NOAA says.

propertycasualty360.com/2012 … orn?ref=hp

Hopefully this year instead of F5’s that cause massive devastation we can be blessed with a mutitude of destructive F-3’s and some baby F-4’s.

I wish nobody harm or death but hey this is music to many contractors ears.If you are in these zones start becoming prepared for these storm’s.Being prepared and having a “Storm Reaction” force can make you big money.Not being prepared can put you behind for the season.

Before people start booh hooing about storm chasers invading your areas try using their approach.Train your teams now.

Imagine if your area was hit next month by a massive hailstorm or a destructive tornado.How would you react ?.,Are you prepared ?

I did a hand full of Ins. Jobs last year due to a string of F-1’s in Richmond, and the surrounding areas. It put me way behind on my regular work. I’d just as soon not have any this year.
BTW, one of my clients got hit 2 years ago and then last year too, after moving here from Ill. to get away from them.

Here is a tip that worked well for me.

Immediately after a storm your crews cannot work. Break your roofing crews up into groups of 2 to 3 men. After a major storm hits send those guys out following your sales staff to install temporary weatherproofing and do temporary repairs. You can cover much more ground that way and make a little more money.

Stay tuned for more…

I agree Ray.,smaller teams equals greater coverage.I have always been a fan of zoning damaged areas.Rather than everyone heading in different directions divide your storm area into as many zones as you have teams.

Just saying.,if you have a 200 block area and you have 4 teams.,then divide your teams to cover the entire area by 50 blocks each.Chances are you will not control any entire area but you can provide an equal coverage of the entire storm damaged areas.

I double up in the wealthy areas but I really clean up in the middle to upper class areas.While everyone is slamming the super wealthy I am dominating the other areas.

(The pic posted is from Oklahoma City as a storm passed through yesterday)

It’s called “farming”. Divide your farm into sections then assign specific sales reps to each section. Have flyers and ad’s ready to go and if you do radio which always worked well for me, get with your ad rep and have the ad ready to go way before hand. When the storm hits, your ad guy will plug you in on the radio so you get total coverage. This also helps to pinpoint the center of the storm by the calls and determine which areas to “farm” and which areas are the most profitable.

You get more legitimate / less bs customers signed up quicker if you don’t do what most people do - simply send out a bunch of guys claiming to be “ins claims specialists.” You need to give potential customers a substantive but quick presentation that allows the potential customer to convince themselves you are the guy.

Countless “storm chaser” reps answer sales jobs offers in any particular town after a storm, hire on, go through a quick training, some better than others, then get sent out in the field as newly minted “ins claim specialists” and start signing up contingencies. Unfortunately, far too many of the hires don’t really know what they are doing and that’s why the market gets mucked up.

Reminds of a quote by a soon-to-be famous Miami Roofing Contractor:“If there were no meteorologists, roofers would be doin’ the weather.” - Roofer Mike 8)
Had not thought of farmers at the time…